For 100GDWDM optical forwarding in 2015 It’s another good year for appliance manufacturers.
Despite a slow start, the market performed strongly in the second half of the year.
LightCounting estimates that 100G DWDM port shipments in 2015 will be close to 150,000, slightly higher than the forecast released by the research organization in August 2015.
For 2016, LightCounting believes that the market's growth range will be between a more moderate 30% and a more aggressive 50-60%.
The more modest growth is consistent with the research firm's long-term forecast model based on declining Internet traffic growth, while the more aggressive forecast is based on the fact that at least some vendors are considering this market as their short-term strategy. Target.
The sharp increase in WSS module sales of Finisar and Lumentum companies in the second half of 2015 (including the newly launched Flex-grid products) is a sign that the 100G DWDM market will once again expand in 2016. Another data point for high growth.
Historically, the WSS market performed very strongly in 2010. After that, there was a substantial increase in 40G and 100G DWDM optical conversion shipments.increase.
Therefore, another rebound in WSS sales may be a signal for the next network upgrade cycle.
The growth in Flex-grid WSS sales means that initial deployments of CDC-ROADMs and super-channel DWDM systems have begun.
Regarding the growth of network traffic, a book titled "The Future X Network: A Bell Labs Perspective" recently published by Bell Labs has a relatively optimistic strategic analysis. .
It believes that driven by the Internet of Everything, the next stage of Internet application development is about to come.
There are also many skeptical views on the impact of the Internet of Things on network traffic.
Bell Labs makes a strong point from the perspective of future global-local cloud networks.
In the future, a large amount of computing and storage resources will be distributed to the edge of the network, which will effectively transform the central office into a data center, creating an edge cloud to support local IoT applications.
Interconnecting edge cloud data centers with 100G DWDM must be something that high-end optical providers are happy to see.
Will we see more signs pointing to this shift in 2016? Changing human behavior takes time.
However, service providers have begun toEarn revenue from the application.
The fear of missing out on these opportunities to Web 2.0 companies may influence service providers' investment decisions in 2016.
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